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84th Oscars. Predictions for Films of 2011
OFFICIAL NOMINATIONS

Did Win: MERYL STREEP finally won her third.

previously...
Will Win/Should Win
: It's a squeaker but we're guessing Viola Davis pulls this one out.
But It Might Be:梅丽尔·斯特里普和上帝waiti很长时间ng for that third Oscar! One of these years...

Reader's Rank (Polls Closed):1. STREEP (36%)... we did an additional mess of ranking for Streep here. So fun! 2. DAVIS (32%) 3. MARA (13%) 4. WILLIAMS (11%) 5. CLOSE (6%)

Nathaniel's Rank:1. VIOLA 2. MERYL 3. (tie) MICHELLE & MARA 5. CLOSE

THE NOMINEES ARE...

GLENN CLOSE
64 yrs old
6 nominations
"Albert Nobbs"
a waiter

Albert Nobbs

prizes:
not yet

VIOLA DAVIS
46 yrs old
2 nominations
"Aibeleen Clark"
a maid

The Help

prizes:
BFCA, SAG, and critics prizes

ROONEY MARA
26 years old
1st nomination!
"Lisbeth Salander" a troubled hacker
The Girl With

the Dragon Tattoo

prizes:
NBR(breakthrough)
and one critics prize



MERYL STREEP
62 yrs old
17 noms | 2 wins

"Margaret Thatcher"
the politician
The Iron Lady

prizes:
NYFCC, Oscar
Golden Globe, BAFTA, and critics prizes

MICHELLE WILLIAMS
31 yrs old
3 nominations

"Marilyn Monroe"
the movie star
My Week With Marilyn

prizes:
Golden Globe, the majority of critics prizes

How'd She Get Nominated?
tba tba tba tba tba
Who Got Snubbed?
Rooney Mara's surging with a slow burn hit and a beloved character (Dragon Tattoodidn't open superbly but grew legs) costTilda Swinton. Tilda had won the NBR and the OFCS and a few other critics prizes as well as all of the major precursor nominations. Still, We Need To Talk About Kevin was always going to be a hard sell with Oscar. She came as far as she did partially on the momentum of three years of great work post-Oscar win.Kirsten Dunst, another worthy contender, never won post Cannes traction.Nathaniel's Personal Ballot.
Who is Likely to Win?
It's shaping up to be a battle betweenMeryl Streep(Globe & BAFTA winner and long overdue for a third Oscar) andViola Davis(just hitting her stride which is a wonderful time to reward people and she's won SAG and BFCA). Michelle and Glenn pull "due" votes away from Meryl rather than Viola sowe're guessing Viola.But not-so-secretly we're hoping for a tie.

last year