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Sep 20 2018

Supporting Actor - New Oscar Chart!

by Nathaniel R

Barring a late year surprise like,oh any number of famous guys from the Dick Cheney biopicVice(formerly known asBackseat),we may know the shape of the Best Supporting Actress race before any of the other acting races this year.That's unusual since the supporting shortlists usually clear up last since Best Picture heat is so (generally speaking) crucial to their composition.

So why the early cementing buzz?That's because  Mahershala Ali inGreen Book, Sam Elliott inA Star is Born,and Timothée Chalamet inBeautiful Boyhave all already staked a very solid claim.They look like the three who will be battling it out for the actual statue.The race would arguably already be wrapped up for Sam Elliott to honor both his long long career and this perfect fit of a role but for the fact that it looks like Ali and Chalamet,both co-leads in their films,will be competing in this category (sigh) sincetheirco-leads (Viggo Mortensen and Steve Carell,respectively) also have penises but the advantage of top know how that goes with Oscar campaigns.

Check outthe newly revised Supporting Actor Chart.All new text and photos for everyone!

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Reader Comments (42)

I'm thinking the same five for now actually,which is weird.It's only September!Early reviews (meaningless though) for Vice were good,with buzz focused on Rockwell and Bale so those two for nominations in the late arrival make sense.

I think everyone could contend for the win actually,including Rockwell if the movie is well loved.Though ironically for those reasons I think Chalamet is the least likely of this group.Elliot makes the most sense on paper but would they actually hand out 3 acting wins to the movie?And the reviews praised Gaga and Cooper more so they have to be contenders in their categories as well for the win.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterAlexD

I'd like to think Michael B Jordan will still make it for BLACK PANTHER - over Sam Rockwell,maybe?

I'd also be happy if Adam Driver or Jonathan Pryce (another co-lead,sigh) got nominated.

Nice to see this category starting to take shape!

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterSteve G

I love chalamet as hell but i think i can wait until the day he is nominated in the right category.

If ali And chalamet were pushed to lead,would they had any chance to get nominated ?

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterAmirfarhang

I love chalamet as hell but I think I can wait until the day he is nominated in the right category.

If ali and chalamet were pushed to lead,would they had Any chance of getting nominated ?

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterAmirfarhang

I thought Green Book opened Nov.21?

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterGeorge

Green Book comes out November 21,I believe.

I'm always perplexed by the Supporting Actor contenders so what I'm about to say may just be that,but I'm sorta surprised at the notion of Sam Elliott getting in for A Star is Born.Love the guy and it seems like Hollywood does too,but that part really wasn't as meaty as it seemed like it'd be on paper.

I know I'm alone here,but I also thought Chalamet's Beautiful Boy performance was a bit overrated.

I think critics could help to push up Michael B.Jordan and replace one of the top 5,perhaps Elliott or Grant.

It will be fun if the last two Best Supporting Acting winners face off in the category this year!

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterEvan

George & Evan -- i'm sorry fixed.I dont know what's going on with my glasses / head tonight.but i was staring at the page and somehow read September when it says November.argh.

Evan -- really?I thought Elliott was just great in A Star is Born.

September 20,2018 | Registered CommenterNATHANIEL R

The autocorrect on Alessandro Nivola calls him a "troubled rally".

I think Hugh Grant should be somewhere on this list.It seemed like he had almost enough support with "Florence Foster Jenkins".That transferred residual love,plus Paddington love,should tip him into contender category.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered Commenteradri

I'm not sold on Chalamet getting in Eliot seems likeslam dunk winner to me and Ali just got a huge push as does Mortensen,if Grant makes it doesthat assure McCarthy fora nom.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered Commentermarkgordonuk

Reasonable predix except Oscar Isaac...How the hell is sixth?He doesn't have the reviews (The reviews barely mentioned),the film is too artsy (72 on Metacritic) and Dafoe is far from granted.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered Commenterleon

Yes,Warner Bros should push a campaign for Hugh Grant's masterful performance in Paddington 2.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterTo Be Blunt

Oh,Richard E.Grant!Me Likey.What about Jonathan Pryce?

So no one from First Man pops up in a Ed Harris-Apollo 13 way?

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterPeggy Sue

I read rumblings that pushing the lead black actor to supporting might not look great (not that it would stop them).What do you think?

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterAdam

A shame,1 year after a rare no-fraud Oscars.亚博主页They really should push Ali in lead: there's room,the movie will likely be popular enough to clinch it,and it will be an amazing thing to brag about.

Sight unseen,I'm really rooting for Kaluuya.He really pops in the trailer.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterMike in Canada

I am here for a Chalamet make-up win.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterJoseph

That's a solid 5 nominees right there.

I hope Ben Foster can gain some momentum too.Even though he's lead,I read that he's going supporting.Is that true?

I also just watched White Boy Rick and even though the film was terrible,Matthew McConaughey was fantastic.I don't get why he's going lead when he's clearly supporting.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterRod

I don't think I could stomach Rockwell's return to the shortlist so quickly,especially considering that I disliked his performance inThree Billboardsand hated his win even more.

As for anyone included in TFE's predictions who is not a real supporting player,I wish they had the balls and integrity of Anne Baxter inAll About Eveand insist to campaign as lead.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterTroy H.

I too have a feeling Kluuya repeats,he was the one who intrigued me in the trailer and it's a total change from Get Out.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered Commentermarkgordonuk

It's a genuine CRIME that Alessandro Nivola isn't a lock this year for Disobedience.If only he had shouted more of his lines,he'd be a shoe-in for the Academy!

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterDiego

Has anyone seen the Nureyev movie directed by Ralph Fiennes?

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterPeggy Sue


September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterGTaste

Are we certain Ali will be campaigned in supporting?I know the rule - no 2 lead actors in a film - but he's kind of the hotter property right now and in a category that's forecasting to be the least diverse of the big 4 (unless you are higher on John David Washington's chances) this could be a good strategy.

I also think Marvel/Disney will push hard for the Jordan nomination.He's comfortably in my top 5.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterSawyer

I hear Robert Forster is downright devastating in WHAT THEY HAD - might be too modest a film,however,to much break through this season.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterAndrew Carden

Sawyer - I've seen the film and I'm pretty sure they'll sneak Ali into supporting,since it really follows Mortenson's character.It's basically a two hander but that will be how they sneak it in.They're both really good in the movie.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered Commentereurocheese

As for anyone included in TFE's predictions who is not a real supporting player,I wish they had the balls and integrity of Anne Baxter in All About Eve and insist to campaign as lead.

Nobody sees the honor in merely being an also-ran nominee in the lead category when you can be a winner in supporting.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered Commenter/3rtful

I'm rooting for Michael B.Jordan,who's legitimately great in genre that doesn't typically demand greatness from its actors.I also wouldn't count out Daniel Kaluuya for Widows.The Academy has a long history of "vindication"nods and he received glowing reviews.

In a better world,Ali and Chalamet would be competing for lead actor and Disobedience would be at the top of the screener pile this year.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterW.J.

I'm thinking Kaluuya is higher up than you think,his reviews are great.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterNikki

Kaluuya repeats Timothee doesn't.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered Commentermarkgordonuk

From my perspective,Ali,Chalamet,Elliott,and Grant are all looking very solid.Rockwell may make it in but his win last year will serve as an impediment to a follow-up nomination,not a boost.Crowe and Kaluuya are most likely to spoil,won't be surprised to see either of them make it,especially Kaluuya.Michael Jordan won't shock me either,though personally I don't think his turn in Black Panther (while fine) is award-worthy.Would love to see Jason Clarke make it in for First Man,primarily because his performance in Chappaquiddick is one of my absolute favorites of the year,and he is not getting the attention he deserves for it.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterJes V.

Steve Carrell should be on this list for his role as Rumsfeld in VICE.For so many reasons.I think he could win if the film and perf plays out.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterCorey

Jes V.

Speaking of the underrated and,let's face it,already forgotten,Chappaquiddick,my current favorite for Best Supporting Actor would be Bruce Dern.What a performance - and with only his head to use!But even hoping he has a chance is ludicrous.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered Commenterken s.

/3rtful: Understood.But how about the honour of being an actor who doesn't steal a place in the supporting category from an actor in a genuine supporting role?

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterEdward L.

/3rtful - Baxter knew she was lead in the less iconic by nature of the two roles and fulfilled her co-lead duties fabulously.A well earned Best Actress Nom for a previous (extremely deserved) Supporting winner.It's douchey to think that often supporting actresses getting chances at leads,who managed to hold their own against an iconic actress in one of THE iconic roles,should lessen their achievement and take a category fraud nom just for pedantic "movie"fans (you're more often just an "awards"fan or so you choose to convey yourself willfully) in the future's weird arbitrary rules of what's appropriate.To take from one of your weird obsessions,you're a "perennial"in cluelessness.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterAaliyah

/3rtful - Edward L.- Aaliyah:

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterJes V.

Aaliyah: I didn't think /3rtful was being clueless.I just thought it was an acknowledgement of how things tend to work these days.

Agreed about Baxter in All About Eve,though.Such a deserved lead nomination.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterEdward L.

Jes V.: Just enthusiastic!

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterEdward L.

It would be gr8 if 2 Lead performances either from The Favoutite or Green Book made it,it would break the cycle and allow for it to continue,all it takes is 1 time and the whole way we view it will change,as long as the Academy keeps putting up with category frauds it will always be that way.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered Commentermarkgordonuk

markgordonuk: For sure.I so wish it would happen.It must have nearly happened a few years ago when Annette Bening and Julianne Moore were both campaigned as leads for The Kids Are All Right.

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterEdward L.

Mahershala (1)

Rockwell or Carell or Perry or Chalamet (2 and 3)

Grant or Isaac (4)

Nivola or Miranda (5)

My dream ballot would be:

Mahershala (and win)
One boy of Vice
Miranda or Isaac

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterJon

Markgordon,edward: it definitely would have happened if they'd campaigned Rooney rightfully as a lead in Carol.They had to reach that year to fill the category (Rampling and Lawrence were great noms,but were hardly sure things.)

September 20,2018 | Unregistered CommenterMike in Canada

Mike in Canada: Rampling,yes.Great nod.Lawrence,not really.Even accepting the fraud,Tomlin for Grandma or Poehler for Inside Out were RIGHT THERE.
As for Michael B.Jordan: I didn't quite get it.Or,at least,I didn't get why this should happen if Michael Keaton as Vulture...didn't.Andy Serkis or Winston Duke should be getting that heat.

September 21,2018 | Unregistered CommenterVolvagia

My two cents.The best actress of 2015 was Juliette Binoche in Clouds of Sils Maria.Rampling,Blanchett - and Mara - were also certainly worthy.

September 21,2018 | Unregistered Commenterken s.

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