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Friday, January 4, 2019 at 2:09PM
NATHANIEL R in Golden Globes, Oscars (18), precursor awards

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Did you know that the Globes could have a greater impact on the Oscar nominations than usual?It's all in the calendar.See the morning after the Globes, Oscar nomination balloting finally begins.该 dates don't always line up that exactly, so the Globes will无疑be fresh in mind when AMPAS begins voting.This is neither good nor bad, or rather it isn't either of things...yet.Let us pray that the HFPA uses their powers for good this year.

Yours truly (Nathaniel) does not follow TV as closely as he does movies but the Globes can be all over the place anyway, so this is rather like throwing darts while doing鸟箱cosplay...but it's fun!预测s are after the jump...

电视预测

男配角电视

预测: Winkler won the Emmy but we're going to go ahead and guess Ben Whishaw since he's also in玛丽阿姨返回which the Globe voters liked
扰流板: They might go all in for范思哲though so Edgar Ramirez

女配角电视

预测: Alex Borstein
扰流板: Penelope Cruz if they're all in for范思哲.
抱怨: Can we reiterate again how it's completely unjust that TV's leading actors of either sex getcategories but the supporting actors of either sex from any type of show have to share just!SAG also deals it dirty like this and both show you why Category Fraud is such a rampant thing;it exposes the truth that people don't respect or care about supporting actors, only the stars.

演员在一个限量系列

预测: Darren Criss
扰流板: Hugh Grant, who I'd actually predict if Criss didn't feel like a steamroller for awards for his gay sociopath

女演员在一个限量系列

预测: This is an extremely tough call because the HFPA are huge fans of both Amy Adams (9 nominations and 2 wins) and Laura Dern (7 nominations and 4 wins.Plus she's a former Miss Golden Globe).I'm guessing the voting margin will be razor thin but Amy Adams because her show got more press
扰流板: Laura Dern

限量系列

预测: Gianni Versace
扰流板: A Very English Scandal

剧情类剧集,演员

预测: This genuinely feels like a toss-up and a five way race to me.该 Globes love fresh meat so Stephan James or Richard Madden are possible "surprise win" threats.Billy Porter has a showy role.Jason Bateman is a Globe favourite (4 noms / 1 win)...so since I think it'll be close we'll give the edge to Matthew Rhys for their last opportunity with美国人, even though the Globes love first seasons more than just about anything.
扰流板: Anyone from a first season, but let's say Stephan James on the strength of also being in如果比尔街...和 because the Globes love to honor new celebrities before anyone else does.

剧情类剧集,女主角

预测: Another tough call.Make history with Sandra Oh, go all in for The Americans via Keri Russell on their last shot, or continue the Julia Roberts love fest (9 nominations / 3 wins).I'm going to toss a coin and say Julia Roberts
扰流板: Sandra Oh

剧情类剧集

预测:姿态because they love these three things well: Ryan Murphy, musical numbers, and making history
扰流板:杀人夜which would make a great surprise winner - I know I'm behind but I just started watching it and...WOW.

喜剧类电视剧,演员

预测: Bill Hader
扰流板: The Globes very rarely get hung up on one winner (unlike the Emmys) but if they do this is the category that they're most likely to do it in, historically speaking, so Donald Glover.

喜剧女演员


预测: The Globes haven't had a repeat winner here since Tina Fey in30岩石(you can thank the Globes for giving honors to multiple brilliant comics over the years since they never gave Julia Louis-Dreyfus the Globe forVEEPthey've completely spread the wealth for the past seven or so years unlike the Emmys.But I'm predicting Brosnahan to be a rare repeat.
扰流板: Kristen Bell, because once you realize you love好地方(which the Globes just did) why not?

喜剧类剧集

预测: The Globes like to switch this winner up every year so let's say Barry since it's fresh.
扰流板: The Marvelous Mrs Maisel (though there hasn't been a repeat winner since Glee in 2009/2010.

MOVIE预测

动画片

预测: The Globes vote pretty much like the Oscars do here but I'm going to go out on a limb and say it's one of the years where they don't line up但人们误以为他们会和 predict超人特攻队2
扰流板:蜘蛛侠:进入Spiderverse
应该赢:狗岛

外语片


预测: Roma
扰流板: none
应该赢: Shoplifters

得分


预测:Mary Poppins的回报
扰流板: A Quiet Place
应该赢:嗯。undecided but um hello Ludwig.Hiiiiiii.

歌曲

预测/应该赢: "Shallow"
扰流板: none

剧本

预测: Tough call even by Globe standards but let's say该收藏
扰流板: Green Book
应该赢: The Favourite in a walk.

导向器


预测/应该赢: Alfonso Cuarón
扰流板: 布莱德利·库珀 but only because I think they'll give him Best Actor instead.It would be better for him if he lost actually, this category I mean, since the backlash would be strong.

Supporting Actress

预测/应该赢: This is a tough call since they Globes love most of these ladies.All of them, save Regina King, are previous winners.So I'm going with Regina King because her fandom has been building and she's nominated twice this year...和 I don't think如果比尔街 Could Talkis winning anything else
扰流板: Amy Adams

Supporting Actor


预测: Mahershala Ali since they skipped over him forMoonlightgiving the win (in a shocker) to Aaron Taylor Johnson instead in 2016
扰流板:我们是不正当的,并说蒂莫·查拉米特,因为他们也忽略了他最近的胜利,他仍然足够年轻,他们可能是第一个授予他...你知道他们喜欢这样做
应该赢:理查德·ê格兰特在散步

Actor, Musical or Comedy

预测:维果·莫特森在一个惊喜
扰流板: 克里斯蒂安·贝尔
应该赢:嗯。大约优势没有强烈的感情在本场比赛,但也许约翰·C·赖利?

Actress, Musical or Comedy


预测:艾米莉·布朗特,我会说这场比赛是接近“领带”的水平。他们喜欢用钝6项提名和1先前取胜,音乐剧往往会给你的优势。
扰流板:奥利维亚·科尔曼明显
应该赢:奥利维亚或查理兹

Musical or Comedy

预测:除了疯狂丰富的亚洲人,很容易想象这些电影获奖鉴于HFPA的品位和历史。但我选择了绿皮书,因为他们非常慷慨的提名......连最佳导演!
扰流板:Mary Poppins的回报
应该赢:喜爱。

Actress, Drama

预测:Lady Gaga的......是典型的全球赢家那么这么多的方法
扰流板:我会说“没有”,但对情绪的格伦·克洛斯的可能性外
应该赢:关闭或麦卡锡

Actor, Drama


预测:布莱德利·库珀,因为我觉得他们会想“他和她的”胜
扰流板:雷米·马利克...谁我怕偷库珀因为库珀可能赢得最佳导演,而不是
应该赢: 布莱德利·库珀
Also:最性感的类别

Drama

预测: 一个明星诞生了
扰流板: 没有...是有风险吗?但也许这应该是最简单的胜利一个明星的诞生整个赛季。它是如此的地球形
应该赢: 一个明星诞生了

SIX PEOPLE WE'RE DYING TO SEE ON THE RED CARPET

1。查理兹·塞隆......感觉就像它是一个咒语,对吧?

2。桑迪·牛顿,glamourpuss。

3。Lady Gaga的,真不错。

4。妮可·基德曼,

5。特洛伊·希文和比利·波特,因为男人的时尚是如此平淡,但同性恋者可能不会!

6。里贾纳国王

SEVEN MORE POSSIBLY FOOLISH PREDICTIONS


1。Lady Gaga将敷料略比平时少华而不实的惊喜(节电它在奥斯卡?)亚博主页

2。吴珊卓和安迪·萨姆伯格会做一份体面的工作托管。

3。很多Bohemian Rhapsody笑话

4。表将看起来像他们遇到的最有趣的:Crazy Rich Asians如果比尔街 Could Talk.表将看起来令人惊讶的时态:Black Panther玛丽阿姨返回

5。在明星交融的那些商业休息镜头最流行:林·曼努埃尔·米兰达,艾玛·斯通,...当然Lady Gaga的。

6。该Jeff Bridges tribute他们有?这真的绑在一起了房间。

Article originally appeared on The Film Experience (//www.cfp-vi.com/).
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