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« 30 days till Oscar|Main|Interview: Ladj Ly on 'Les Miserables' »
星期五
Jan 10 2020

Who'll be this years' surprise snub?

通过克劳迪奥·阿尔维斯

纳撒尼尔的最终预测will be up tomorrow morning but until then, let's talk potential snubs. Oscar nomination morning usually holds a few surprises. Sometimes, everything goes according to plan and the performers singled out by the precursors appear in their entirety but that's a rare event. We're thankful for that since the opposite would be dreadfully boring. Usually, there's one big snub like Timothée Chalamet for漂亮的男孩,艾米·亚当斯为到达伊德里斯厄尔巴为Beasts of No Nation,Jennifer Anniston forCake或者汤姆·汉克斯为Captain Phillips。在最后一分钟,他们都未能获得预期的点头。

Of this year's crop of contenders, 12 have conquered nods from the Golden Globes, BAFTAs, SAGs, and Critics Choice Awards. Many pundits say DiCaprio is the most vulnerable and we should never be sure about Hanks given his recent Oscar history. Still, the rest of them seem solid if not altogether locked. Unless, of course, Margot Robbie manages to upset everyone and get in for the Tarantino flick instead of重磅炸弹。你永远无法确切知道,那是关于预后永恒的真理。

All that said, here are those 12 contenders...

Laura Dern,婚姻故事

Leonardo DiCaprio,曾几何时......在好莱坞

Adam Driver,婚姻故事

Tom Hanks,A BEAUTIFUL DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD

Scarlett Johansson,婚姻故事

艾尔·帕西诺,爱尔兰人

Joe Pesci,爱尔兰人

Joaquin Phoenix,JOKER

布拉德Pitt,曾几何时......在好莱坞

Margot Robbie,BOMBSHELL

查理兹·塞隆,BOMBSHELL

蕾妮Zelwegger,JUDY

Which of these performers is likeliest to be absent on nomination morning?Whoever it is, can't wait to write about them for the new series "Almost There”。

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Reader Comments (63)

安妮斯顿并没有得到BAFTA提名蛋糕,BTW。她没有作出SAG,环球(戏剧)和BFCA切(当年6个提名,其他5人的奥斯卡列表)。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家JF

我不明白这个词冷落。在接近比赛了一年,有的认为前面的车手可能进不去,但选民不积极针对某一演员投票 - 所以它是如何怠慢?

如何术语“奥斯卡惊喜呢?”

其实,我觉得所有这些12是相当扎实,我想迪卡普里奥是最脆弱的,但曾几何时在好莱坞在恰当的时刻提名确实峰(我认为1917年在准确适当的时候将会峰真正赢得)。在惊喜的方面 - 我觉得感觉肯定的赌注珍妮弗·洛佩兹可能的女配角被排除在外。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家迈克尔

I'm going to go out on a limb and guess Charlize Theron, since there doesn't seem to be much passion for that movie or the performance.

我希望汉克斯打破他的卑鄙的人e and finally gets his 6th nom.

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家PoliVamp

我想他们都会从罗比谁将会得到仙界好莱坞,而不是使之分开。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家卢克

Straight up I'm predicting Theron and technically Robbie getting snubbed. The reason I'm saying Theron is really because Awkwafina is my one major wildcard choice of the acting races and I'm hoping she gets in. Robbie will probably get in for the Tarantino, so she's technically not getting snubbed, but still.

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Chris

缺席:莱昂纳多·迪卡普里奥和汤姆·汉克斯。惊喜:他们将包括奥尔弗里·伍德德!

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Bupe

当最后一次实际的领跑者已经被冷落在奥斯卡提名早上?因为这感觉就像我们那些即将面临一个,所以...难道是...齐薇格?这将是惊人的,但不完全震撼到我了。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Mareko

我想说的是查理兹可能这样被冷落 - 那部电影没有赚到钱,并已被证明是一种关键的哑弹。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Matthew

My vote is for Tom Hanks because, obviously, his luck over the last few years despite very baity projects has been nonexistent to say the least.

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Troy H.

Theron
Hanks

而祈祷克里斯蒂安·贝尔。他在福特是惊人VS法拉利

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家曼努埃尔

我不认为无论是查理兹·玛戈或针对重磅炸弹让英寸我认为玛戈将获得在OUATIH而不是和查理兹将克沃菲纳被替换。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家肖恩·迭戈

The heat on Charlize really seems to have died, huh? After that initial blush of ‘she’s going to WIN’ when Bombshell premiered, she remains locked for many predictors but is anyone still talking about that performance? Personally, I hope Awkwafina gets in.

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家ben1283

帕西诺和迪卡普里奥

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家杰瑞

狮子座,汤姆和斯嘉丽似乎最容易受到我。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家现金

可悲的是,即使她并不完全符合这一标准,我认为这是J-罗

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家偏执的Android

Have this strong feeling that Robbie is going to get the nod for OUATIH.

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家卢克R.

I think Charlize Theron will be skipped for Bombshell. Just have a hard time seeing folks getting excited about her in it (good as she was), mostly b/c the movie itself is underwhelming. I think Saoirse Ronan gets a nod instead, as people like her and Little Women seems to have surfaced at just the right time.

我也不在乎单词“冷落”,因为它意味着有意识地遗漏。请记住:这里只有5除了最佳影片每一个主要类别的提名,因此受到人们DESIG会得到冷落。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Rob

如果我们谈论的提名,有没有办法在地狱的是邓恩,皮特,凤凰或齐薇格会碰一鼻子灰。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家whunk

Both Bombshell ladies could get snubbed. Margot for vote splitting and Theron keeps not getting nominated for good work. She is like the female Tom Hanks.
我也觉得珍妮弗·洛佩兹可能会遭到冷遇。我们可能是“你的帽子举办” 2003寻找了一年等。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家汤姆·g ^

塞隆和迪卡普里奥

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家RDF

I would "snub" them all if it meant making room for the Asian actors that have largely been ignored all season long give or take Awkwafina miraculously winning at the Globes.

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家瑞安T.

I really don't think any of these 12 are going to miss. I think they have strong enough narratives on their own. They don't have the Chalamet/Hong Chau thing of being in a film pretty much EVERYONE hates.

I don't think Hanks has anything to worry about. There is no Tom Hanks curse because he has only missed once. In the last 20 years, Captain Phillips was the ONLY time he had a great shot of being nominated. He just has made a lot of either shitty films or non-Oscar bait films. He was never a serious part of the final pre-nomination conversation for The Post or Saving Mr. Banks. Sully kind of, but pretty sure he only got a Critics Choice and they nominate 6 or 7 per category so that doesn't mean much.

我担心查理兹·但她没有错过anywhere and that category seems to be kind of weak. If I had to pick, I'd probably go with Margot Robbie because I feel like Charlize has taken the narrative on that film. But I think that category is also weak, so I think she'll probably be safe. And yet, I think that category is where there will be a big surprise. Maybe Margot, maybe someone else. It honestly wouldn't shock me if Margot got pushed out by Kidman who is secretly the hero of the film.

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Charlea

珍妮弗·洛佩兹*哭*

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家DAVID

QT惊喜冷落在导演类别。(以上可能获得启动唯一的男主角是汉克斯,可悲。)

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Working stiff

Theron or Robbie

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家劳尔

I agree with the consensus. "Bombshell" nominations are at risk, but Charlize is unrecognizable as Kelly. Without seeing the movie, folks will want to nominate her. I don't think Robbie will get a nom for "Bombshell," but perhaps for "OUATIH." Hers is the biggest question mark on this list. If she and "The Irishmen" actors were left off the final ballot, I would not be upset.

I would personally like a couple of "surprise" nominations. Mary Kay Place for "Diane," Alfre Woodard for "Clemency," or Frances Pugh for "Midsommar." I would die if Elizabeth Moss (Scientology nonsense aside) would get in for "Her Smell." There was a great think piece on her performance on this blog and it truly hit the mark.

我不是一个球迷“告别”。克沃菲纳起到一个音符烦恼。她的性格是真正的难以忍受。邵书浈是电影的救命之恩。

在一个表现我最热爱的是亚当驾驶。他的魅力离婚是我今年最喜欢的个人。因为看过电影,我rewatched大婚姻战斗场景和他的“活着”的演出多次。他是今年的蒂莫·查拉米特,给人一种表演,我会考虑最好的一年,不管谁赢(对不起加里·奥德曼)。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家麦克·约翰逊

Charlize, Margot (for Bombshell), and Tom Hanks. Awards voters are lazy, and they are less likely to watch Bombshell and A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood than the other films listed here.

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家jules

DiCaprio will / should make space for Egerton - which is fair.

我爱邓恩 - 她是辉煌的 - 但我不明白她的婚姻故事人物的嗡嗡声 - 有点懊恼,她的采取一切奖金回家 - 她的表现真的没有那么特别在所有...这么多有趣的选择在那里......但冷落不会发生。她是最清晰的锁定奥斯卡 - 所以是布拉德(包括职业点头 - 如果它发生当之无愧)

I think we will be in for surprises for some asian actors ;)

对于班德拉斯和普赖斯藏品赞许 - 崇拜的演员类别今年。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Martin

Count me in for retiring the word "snub" for "omission". There are only 5 slots, so not everyone is getting in.

我觉得这12个是相当安全的,但迪卡普里奥和Hanks只是也许可能没有做到这一点。

Maybe the public hasn't warmed to Bombshell, but remember the SAG just loved it, even passing over Marriage Story to nominate it.

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家肯秒。

Please noms for the asians actors this year in that order: kong-ho song, Awkwafina, Zhao shuzen, So-dam Park, jeo-jeong jo!

并请了一个WOODARD喃!

Academy, make that happen, please!

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家帕特里克

I'm guessing one of the actors from The Irishman is surprisingly left off the noms.

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Ready

我知道他没有BFCA这就是为什么他不是这个职位,但我不扎实的塔龙使它尽管得到休息。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Jw

我显然不是原来是说,我最大的担心怠慢J.是罗。尽管这可以说是一年中最佳的性能,这是由奥斯卡电影或奥斯卡的表现至今。我会在奥斯卡神每天晚上祈祷,以确保她得到了!

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家JS

Robbie gets in for OUTIH and Charlize is snubbed.

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家markgordonuk

Not a surprise for me but HANKS, it is a bland performance in a bland movie.

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Eder Arcas

It would be kinda weird for Once Upon a Time in Hollywood to win Best Picture and/or Best Director as well as Best Supporting Actor (Brad is a lead, it’s ridiculous people have accepted this category fraud) but Leo gets snubbed, especially after hitting GG/SAG/BAFTA.

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Anon

我只是担心的JLO。她是她的电影的唯一的机会,她不认为是由于或尊重 - 我抱歉 - 但她的拉丁。难怪所有12人在此列表中是白色的,今年一些最好的表演(Shuzen,班德拉斯,JLO)只是有一个更难的时间使得它比其他一些有关(的重磅炸弹女士等)显然是无人问津。
I want to be wrong because I think Lopez’s is a superb performance but maybe it was just too good/weird to be true and we should have never counted on it.

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Lucky

ScarJo. They don't like her

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家卡尔·罗斯

我想Therom-的是,电影赚钱?

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Jaragon

Joe Pesci. It's the same thing ever time. He got one for that.

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家吉米

I agree with Charlea across the board.

在洛杉矶人都在非常积极地谈论重磅炸弹。其他妇女在康沃最佳女主角不会推出查理兹......他们的电影更不喜欢,它似乎。

我觉得有一个镜头是帕西诺没有得到提名,并有像威廉·达福或希安拉博夫惊喜。不太可能,但可能的。对爱尔兰人的爱情大多来自评论界,而不是观众。我勉强可以找到谁喜欢它。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家EricB

所有你举最大的怠慢是在是,在大多数电影,明确最佳影片失败者即使在提名日上午。

I think OUATIH is winning or close to it in Best Picture so it'd be odd to see Leo fall out despite all the claims of him being "vulnerable." If anything, he'd be a coattails nominee squeaking through in a competitive category, not a surprise snub. The Irishman and Marriage Story are major BP contenders so I don't suspect them to fall out.

重磅炸弹似乎是死了,但查理兹好像她是太超前(在一个点上,她似乎是潜在的扰流板蕾妮的胜利)为她感到非常惊奇了冷落。

我不会吃惊地看到JLO或汤姆·汉克斯获得启动,因为它们将是该唯一候选人和/或从他们的电影两名候选人之一。但最后,我想他们都会使,留下最脆弱的推测提名为斯嘉丽·约翰逊在乔乔兔,这是不是触目惊心考虑学院的过去沉默给她。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家埃文

对我来说,汉克斯和,真正的惊喜,迪卡普里奥。其他人我认为没有机会。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家沃尔特

我只是不明白怎么有人会在OUTIH生根罗比。她的表现比较中庸,它不包含任何哇时刻。请饶了我们吧!

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家马科斯

我真的很担心针对J.Lo.是不是很奇怪,我们只是吹捧她作为一个潜在的全球冠军,现在我只是有一种感觉一样,如果有人在女配角的冷落,这将是她的。就像有人在这里说,她是她的电影在提名唯一的机会。我希望她拉它关闭,但不会惊讶地看到淑珍,普格,基德曼,或超过她寄生虫女士之一潜行。他们的电影只是有更多的嗡嗡声。

这些中,这绝对是汉克斯谁有理由担心。我认为,迪卡普里奥和塞隆是英寸

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Aaron

我还预测汤姆·汉克斯将不提名之中。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Terry

Mareko,我的领跑者冷落的猜测是,从“泰坦尼克号”利奥?

我悲哀地想狮子座和汉克斯是最脆弱的,我真希望我是错的。我更生根埃杰顿,豪瑟和淑珍,并期望得到2/3失望。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家forever1267

I want to say Renee lmao
So I guess it's Hanks or J-Lo

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家法迪勒

我想塞隆,因为没有一个人似乎都对她的表现感到兴奋。并希望迪卡普里奥因为他是如此无聊。但无可否认,这是一个个人的基础。

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家布拉德

I just don’t think Pesci is gonna make it in. I’ve been thinking that it’s gonna be either Deniro for Joker, Lithgow for Bombshell, or Tracy Letts for FvF.

2020年1月10日|未注册的批评家Barryyorkbrooks

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