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"I don't even need to watch the trailer to judge. Manville and Huppert? That is a YES." -Jules

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Index|Pic|Dir|Actress|Actor|Supp Actress|Supp Actor|Foreign|Screenplays|Visual|Aural|Animation

89th Oscars. Oscar Contenders of 2016 -For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes onlydiscuss on the blog

The 9 Nominees Are...
discuss

MOONLIGHT IS THE WINNER IN A SURPRISE OUTCOME

LA LA LAND
(Lionsgate)
Damien Chazelle
Dec 9th
Box Office $148+

an original musical about sacrifice and dreams in Hollywood

14 nominations | 6 wins

A RARITY|COSTUMES|PODCAST|REVIEW|2ND TAKE|PROD. DESIGN

How'd it get nominated?


MOONLIGHT
(A24)
Barry Jenkins
Oct 21st
Box Office $26+

一个回忆录identity and growing up gay and black in Miami

8 nominations | 3 wins

REVIEW|PODCAST|THAT SCORE!

ARRIVAL
(Paramount)
Denis Villeneuve
Nov 11th
票房超过100美元

a scific drama about language, empathy, and memory

8 nominations | 1 win

REVIEW|INTERVIEW|PODCAST|PRODUCTION DESIGN

MANCHESTER BY THE SEA
(Amazon/Roadside)
Kenneth Lonergan
Nov 18th
Box Office $47+

a drama about grief and family

6 nominations | 2 wins

REVIEW|2ND TAKE|3RD TAKE

LION
(Weinstein Co)
Garth Davis
Nov 25th
Box Office $46+

a drama about an adopted man searching for his biological family

6 nominations

REVIEW|PODCAST|NICOLE CHAT|BRIERLEY INTERVIEW

and...

HACKSAW RIDGE
(Fox)
Mel Gibson
November 2nd
Box Office $67+

a war biography about the first conscientous objector given the Medal of Honor

6 nominations | 2 wins

REVIEW|PODCAST

FENCES
(Paramount)
Denzel Washington
Dec 25th
Box Office $57+

an adaptation of the classic stage tragedy about an unravelling marriage and unfulfilled dreams

4 nominations | 1 win

TEASER|HIS & HERS OSCARS|STAGE TO SCREEN ROLES

HELL OR HIGH WATER
(CBS Films/Lionsgate)
David Mackenzie
Aug 12th
Box Office $27

a western drama about bank robbing brothers eager to save their land

4 nominations

REVIEW|PRODUCTION DESIGN

HIDDEN FIGURES
(Fox)
Theodore Melfi
Dec 25th
Box Office $162+

a historical drama about mathematically gifted black women at NASA in the 1960s

3 nominations

PODCAST|SAG AWARDS

WHO WILL WIN?

有14提名s, the most of all time (tied withTitanicandAll About Eve), and the DGA and PGA prizes, the Oscar isLa La Land's to lose. It probably won't be close though the weighted ballot might give movies with devout fanbases and no real haters (Moonlight, Hidden Figures, Manchester by the Sea) reason to hope for a shocking upset

WHAT FILM WAS LEFT OUT?

What wasn't? Nine isn't a lot when you count the many wonderful films from 2016. The films that initially seemed like they had more heat that didn't make the finish line wereSully, 20th Century Women, Loving, andJackie. Films that were surging at the last minute that didn't make the list includedDeadpoolandNocturnal Animals.Here's my personal ballotandmy top ten list.

RANDOM RANKINGS


Ranked by Domestic Gross

1.Hidden Figures$162+
2.La La Land$148+
3.Arrival$100+
4.Hacksaw Ridge$67+
5.Fences$57+
6.Lion$48
7.Manchester$47+
8.Hell or High Water$27
9.Moonlight$26+

Ranked by Global Gross

1.La La Land$396+
2.Arrival$197+
3.Hidden Figures$194+
4.Hacksaw Ridge$175+
5.Lion$102+
6.Fences$61+
7.Manchester$61+
8.Hell or High Water$27
9.Moonlight$20

Ranked by RT / Metacritic Scores

1.Moonlight98/99
2.Manchester96/96
3.La La Land93/93
4.Hell or High Water98 /88
5.Arrival94/81
6.Fences95/79
7.Hidden Figures91/74
8.Hacksaw Ridge86/71
9.Lion87/69

MPAA Ratings

R
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Manchester
Moonlight
PG-13
Arrival
Fences
La La Land
Lion
PG
Hidden Figures

Ranked by Running Time

1.Fences139 min
--Hacksaw Ridge139 min
3.Manchester137 min
4.La La Land128 min
5.Hidden Figures127 min
6.Lion120 min
7.Arrival118 min
8.Moonlight111 min
9.Hell or High102 min

More Random Rankings

Ranked by Nathaniel's Preference

1.Moonlight
2.La La Land
3.Arrival
4.Fences
5.Lion
6.Hell or High Water
7.Hidden Figures
8.Manchester
9.Hacksaw

Ranked by # of Deaths

1.Hacksaw500+
2.Hell or High Water5+
3.Manchester by the Sea4
4.Fences2
5.1 each
Moonlight&
Lion
none...
Arrival
La La Land
Hidden Figures

How well they pass the Bechdel Test?

EASY PASS
Hidden Figures
PASS

Fences
Manchester
UNSURE
Arrival(if you count voiceover)
Lion
FAIL
Hacksaw
Hell or...
La La Land
Moonlight

Female percentage of cast using SAG's ensemble rule for cast list

Hidden Figures44%
La La Land/Lion40%
Manchester33%
Moonlight/Fences28%
Arrival25%
Hell or High20%